Miguel Jaramillo Baanante
Senior Researcher
PhD in History - University of California
mjaramillo@grade.org.pe
Miguel Jaramillo has a degree in Economics from the Pontifical Catholic University of Peru. He completed his graduate studies in Economics and History at the University of California, where he received a PhD in History. His areas of interests are labor economics, social policy and institutional analysis. He is currently a Senior Researcher at GRADE.
He has taught classes in economics at the Pontifical Catholic University and at the Pacific University. He has served as Advisor to Vice Ministers and Ministers in the fields of labor, social promotion and industry, having been Vice Minister of Social Promotion as well as a member of the Advisory Committee for the Ministry of Labor and Social Promotion.
Miguel has conducted research projects and consultancies for the International Labor Office, the Inter-American Development Bank, the World Bank, the Ministry of Labor and Social Promotion, the Andean Development Corporation, the Food and Agriculture Organization, the Ministry of Education, and the United Nations Development Program, to name but a few. He was Project Director and Senior Researcher at the APOYO Institute, an Executive Board member of the National Industrial Work Training Service (SENATI) between 1997 and 2000, a member of the Non-permanent Specialized Committee (CENPES) for Development and Productive Employment of the Organization of American States (OAS) and Founding Director of the Executive Board of the National Fund for Professional Training and Employment Promotion (FONDOEMPLEO), and a member of the Poverty and Inequality Research Network (NIP) where he also held a seat on the Executive Board between 2009 and 2011.
He is currently a member of the National Labor Council and Vicepresident of the Peruvian Economic Association..
Publications
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JournalNorrag Special Issue
Breaking the continuum of socioeconomic inequalities in Peru
2023 Miguel Jaramillo, Maria Balarin
By documenting the links between different forms of vulnerable life trajectories and labor market outcomes, this article highlights the need to include precarious young workers among those targeted for labour market interventions. It also makes a case for such interventions to be tailored to the needs of different groups facing specific barriers to more secure […]
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JournalInternational Labour Review
Revisiting the stepping-stone hypothesis: Transitions from temporary to permanent contracts in Peru
2023 Miguel Jaramillo, Daniela Campos
This study seeks to gauge the extent to which temporary contracts function as stepping stones to permanent contracts and to distinguish intrafirm from interfirm contract conversions. Using 2012–2016 data from a Peruvian matched employer–employee database, the authors propose several measures of contract conversion and estimate duration models. Their findings show that only 7 per cent […]
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Promoviendo el empleo y la empleabilidad durante el COVID-19: evaluación de cuatro experiencias en América Latina
2023 Lorena Alcazar, Miguel Jaramillo, Fernando Távara
The COVID-19 pandemic and the measures to control it had a strong impact on the Latin American labor market. As a result of this crisis, the region experienced a rapid decline in its employed population and a significant rise in unemployment, which hit women and youth the hardest. In this context, Latin American countries implemented […]
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Employment protection legislation and on-the-job training in an informal labor market: evidence from Peru
2022 Miguel Jaramillo, Bruno Escobar
Training and learning on the job are two critical channels for human capital accumulation during work years. Several studies in developed countries have found that fixed-term contract (FTC) workers receive less training sponsored by their employers than openended contract (OEC) workers do. In contrast, FTC workers participate more actively in informal learning during their job […]
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Chapter in BookEl Perú pendiente: ensayos para un desarrollo con bienestar
La protección social en el Perú: estado actual y cómo marchar hacia el acceso universal
2022 Miguel Jaramillo
En este ensayo se busca resumir el estado de la cuestión sobre la protección social en el Perú, y sugerir algunos campos de acción concretos para avanzar en el diseño de un sistema que cubra a todos los ciudadanos.
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Employment protection legislation and on-the-job training in an informal labor market: evidence from Peru
2022 Miguel Jaramillo, Bruno Escobar
Training and learning on the job are two critical channels for human capital accumulation during work years. Several studies in developed countries have found that fixed-term contract (FTC) workers receive less training sponsored by their employers than openended contract (OEC) workers do. In contrast, FTC workers participate more actively in informal learning during their job […]
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Impact evaluation and policy decisions: where are we? A Latin American think tank perspective
2015 Miguel Jaramillo, Lorena Alcazar
This paper by Jaramillo and Alcázar addresses questions that go to the heart of impact evaluation research: how much has the field achieved towards its goal of informing public policies, and which factors may have been furthering or hindering this goal? Looking primarily at its own experience, a Peruvian think tank, the Group for the […]
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Guía sobre microfinanzas en América Latina
2014 Miguel Jaramillo
Sorry, this entry is only available in European Spanish.
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The incidence of social spending and taxes in Peru
2013 Miguel Jaramillo
Standard tax and benefit incidence analysis is used to estimate the effects of fiscal policy on poverty and inequality in Peru. Results suggest that the extent of inequality and poverty reduction induced by Peru’s fiscal policy is small. Results also suggest that the small impact is associated with low social spending rather than with inefficient […]
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Does participatory budgeting have an effect on the quality of public services? The case of Peru’s water and sanitation sector
2013 Miguel Jaramillo, Lorena Alcazar
Since 2004 the government of Peru has implemented a process of participatory budgeting (PB), which is mandatory for every sub-national government. We analyze the link from PB to coverage and water service quality indicators. We find no statistically significant relationship between PB and our measures of coverage and service continuity, regardless of whether the outcome […]
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JournalNorrag Special Issue
Breaking the continuum of socioeconomic inequalities in Peru
2023 Miguel Jaramillo, Maria Balarin
By documenting the links between different forms of vulnerable life trajectories and labor market outcomes, this article highlights the need to include precarious young workers among those targeted for labour market interventions. It also makes a case for such interventions to be tailored to the needs of different groups facing specific barriers to more secure […]
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JournalInternational Labour Review
Revisiting the stepping-stone hypothesis: Transitions from temporary to permanent contracts in Peru
2023 Miguel Jaramillo, Daniela Campos
This study seeks to gauge the extent to which temporary contracts function as stepping stones to permanent contracts and to distinguish intrafirm from interfirm contract conversions. Using 2012–2016 data from a Peruvian matched employer–employee database, the authors propose several measures of contract conversion and estimate duration models. Their findings show that only 7 per cent […]
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JournalEnergy for Sustainable Development
Energy saving behaviours of middle class households in Ghana, Peru and the Philippines
2022 Babette Never, Sascha Kuhn, Hanna Fuhrmann-Riebel, Jose Ramon Albert, Sebastian Gsell, Miguel Jaramillo, Bernardin Sendaza
Demand-side management of energy seeks to foster energy efficiency investments and curtailment behaviour in households. The role of environmental concern and knowledge for both types of energy saving behaviour has hardly been investigated in middle income countries with growing middle classes and rising electricity demand. Drawing on unique household survey data from Ghana, Peru and […]
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Journaleconomíaunam
The impact of Covid-19 on the Peruvian economy
2020 Miguel Jaramillo, Hugo Ñopo
Potential impacts on labor incomes of Peruvian homes are analyzed. Although it is still uncertain the magnitude and duration of the economic shock those homes deal with, our approach focus attention on this research question: how prepared are the Peruvian homes for shocks as the one they are dealing with these days? What impacts are […]
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JournalEconomic Letters
Interpersonal comparisons and risk attitudes: An artefactual field experiment
2019 Miguel Jaramillo, Kristian López
Researchers study the impact of interpersonal comparisons on risk preferences in an artefactual field experiment. In their experiment, each decision maker (DM) is randomly paired with someone else in her neighborhood and makes a series of decisions that allows us to measure her risk attitudes under one of three conditions: In treatment 1, the DM’s […]
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La protección social en el Perú: estado actual y cómo marchar hacia el acceso universal
El Perú pendiente: ensayos para un desarrollo con bienestar2022 Miguel Jaramillo
En este ensayo se busca resumir el estado de la cuestión sobre la protección social en el Perú, y sugerir algunos campos de acción concretos para avanzar en el diseño de un sistema que cubra a todos los ciudadanos.
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Does participatory budgeting have an effect on the quality of public services? The case of Perú´s water and sanitation sector
Improving access and quality of public services in Latin America: To Govern and To Serve2017 Miguel Jaramillo, Lorena Alcazar
This chapter presents a discussion of the effects of participatory budgeting (PB) on coverage and quality of public services in Peru. Using econometric techniques, the authors analyze the link from PB to coverage and water service quality indicators, showing that there is no evidence of a positive relationship. In effect, they do not find a […]
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La artículación de un espacio económico: formación de la economía regional de Piura
Historia económica del norte peruano: señoríos, haciendas y minas en el espacio regional2017 Miguel Jaramillo
Sobre el libro (descripción extraída de la web del Instituto de Estudios Peruanos): Por su proximidad al estrecho de Panamá, y su relativamente fácil conexión con los puertos de la costa, el norte peruano desarrolló una economía peculiar dentro del conjunto del país. Sus características incluyen un activo sector de agricultura y ganadería comercial, una […]
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Instituciones, normas sociales y comportamiento
Investigación para el desarrollo en el Perú: once balances2016 Miguel Jaramillo
Are institutions having the effect that we intended? In recent years, the economics literature has revealed the role that incentives and non-material motivations play in affecting the behavior of economic agents. While some actions are performed due to their intrinsic value, some are carried out because of the information they convey about the actor, and […]
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Los sectores no primarios y el mercado interno, 1930-1980
Compendio de historia económica: entre la gran depresión y el reformismo militar2014 Miguel Jaramillo, Rosa Huamán
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Covid-19 y el shock externo: Impactos económicos y opciones de política en el Perú
2020 Miguel Jaramillo, Hugo Ñopo
Latinoamérica sufre al momento dos shocks, independientes pero relacionados, el impacto del Covid-19 y el shock de precios de materias primas. Perú es un caso en el que el impacto más fuerte proviene de la epidemia. Perú fue el primer país de América Latina en reaccionar con medidas sanitarias y económicas frente al coronavirus. El […]
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Crecimiento y segmentación en el Perú
2015 Miguel Jaramillo, Bárbara Sparrow
Sorry, this entry is only available in European Spanish.
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Apego al terruño: La geografía de los mercados laborales de docentes
2015 Miguel Jaramillo
Sorry, this entry is only available in European Spanish.
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La incidencia del gasto social y los impuestos en el Perú
2014 Miguel Jaramillo, Bárbara Sparrow
Sorry, this entry is only available in European Spanish.
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El modelo de la caja municipal en Perú
2014 Miguel Jaramillo
Sorry, this entry is only available in European Spanish.
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The dynamics of the Peruvian labor market: job creation and destruction and destruction of jobs and worker flows
2020 Miguel Jaramillo, Daniela Campos
Peruvian labor analysis has focused mainly on its static dimension. Thus, the focus has been on indicators such as the number of jobs generated; unemployment, occupation or participation rates; job allocation by sector or formality, of unemployment, occupation or participation; the allocation of work according to sectors or formality condition. These indicators provide a view […]
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Inclusión social: diálogos entre la investigación y las políticas públicas
2014 Martín Benavides, Miguel Jaramillo, Santiago Cueto, Gabriela Guerrero, Juan Leon, Nestor Valdivia, Lorena Alcazar, Manuel Glave, Maria Balarin, Juan Jose Diaz, Juana Kuramoto, Gerardo Damonte
Esta publicación recoge el espíritu del seminario internacional "Cambios Institucionales para un Estado más Inclusivo" (julio de 2012), y apunta a lo más relevante y valioso de cada exposición, intervención y comentario.
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Investigación, políticas y desarrollo en el Perú
2007 Eduardo Zegarra, Veronica Minaya, Javier Escobal, Carmen Ponce, Juana Kuramoto, Manuel Glave, Lorena Alcazar, Miguel Jaramillo, Hugo Ñopo, Juan Jose Diaz, Nancy Birdsall, Rachel Menezes, Maximo Torero, José Deustua, Manuel Hernández, Santiago Cueto, Martín Benavides, Juan Leon, Martin Valdivia, Nestor Valdivia
Este libro recoge las Mimeos presentadas en la conferencia Investigación, políticas y desarrollo, realidad en el marco del 25 aniversario del Grupo de Análisis para el Desarrollo.
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Cambios globales y el mercado laboral peruano: comercio, legislación, capital humano y empleo
2005 Miguel Jaramillo, Juan Chacaltana, Gustavo Yamada
Sorry, this entry is only available in European Spanish.
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Jóvenes emprendedores: evaluación de programas de promoción
2003 Miguel Jaramillo, Sandro Parodi
El limitado dinamismo del mercado laboral asalariado en el Perú no permite absorber la demanda de puestos de trabajo de los jóvenes y muchos optan por generar su propio empleo. ¿Hay maneras efectivas de apoyarlos?
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Policies to combat the COVID-19 pandemic
2021 Miguel Jaramillo, kristian López Vargas
An analysis of the policies taken in Peru to combat the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Regulación del mercado laboral en Perú
2004 Miguel Jaramillo
Mimeo preparado para el Proyecto CRECER, USAID.
Projects
- Diagnosis and roadmap for strengthening research capabilities and contribution to the productive sector of the Universidad Nacional Santiago Antúnez de MayoloOctober 2024
- Labor Neighbors Resource ToolkitSeptember 2024
- Impact evaluation of the BonoGas ProgramNovember 2023
- Mid-term evaluation of project for economic inclusion of Venezuelan migrantsOctober 2023
- Mid-term evaluation of a project for economic inclusion of Venezuelan migrantsOctober 2023
- Territorial analysis of gaps between the supply and demand for higher education and the development of a dashboard to visualize these gaps and make recommendations to close them.May 2023
- Country Portfolio Evaluation of German Support to Peru between 2010 and 2022May 2023
- Generating Informality StatisticsAugust 2022
- Shaping the response to COVID-19July 2020
- Rebuilding to improve: opportunities from the crisis for sustainable and inclusive improvements in food security, labor markets and social protectionJuly 2020
Media
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Miguel Jaramillo on “underpaid” workers in the country. Via Gestión
December 4, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
According to Miguel Jaramillo, Senior Researcher at GRADE, although in the informal sector almost everyone is underemployed due to income, “both in the formal and informal sectors there may be underemployed”. Read the full article in Diario Gestión for subscribers here.
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Miguel Jaramillo shares his opinion on an eventual increase of the Peruvian minimum wage. Via La República de Colombia
November 4, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
“The minimum wage decision is not based on technical and economic grounds, it is a political decision”. Our senior researcher Miguel Jaramillo shares his thoughts on the new proposals for an eventual increase in the Peruvian minimum wage. Read the article on the website of La República de Colombia here.
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Miguel Jaramillo shares his opinion on the increase in public employment. Via Gestión.
October 29, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
According to Miguel Jaramillo, Senior Researcher at GRADE, the increase of employment in the public sector “would be correlated to the progress of public investment, but he warned that as a trend ‘it is fatal’ because of its implications on public finances”. Read the full article in Gestión for subscribers here.
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Miguel Jaramillo shares his thoughts on the increase in formal employment. Via Gestión.
October 24, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
According to Miguel Jaramillo, Senior Researcher at GRADE, the figures from the Central Reserve Bank “reinforce the idea that the public sector is gaining more weight in spending on salaries, which could have long-term consequences if the private sector does not retake the lead in job creation”. Read the full article in Gestión for subscribers […]
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Miguel Jaramillo shares his thoughts on proposals to reestablish compulsory military service
October 23, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
According to Miguel Jaramillo, Senior Researcher at GRADE, bill No. 9166 would not contribute to the labor market nor is it positive for employment, because it would not fullfill its aim of providing training and development opportunities for young people who are neither studying nor working, since”evidence shows that the Army is very attractive to them”. Read the full article by El Comercio here. […]
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Off days: Second jobs and informality in Peru, by Miguel Jaramillo
September 2, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
“From the perspective of our regulation, the high rate of second jobs is paradoxical, given the preference for the full-time contract over indefinite time, which leads our jurisconsultants to consider fixed-term labor contracts as “atypical”, when in reality it is the most frequent form of contracting”. Miguel Jaramillo, Senior Researcher at GRADE, writes about second jobs […]
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Goodbye demographic bonus: the sudden aging of the Peruvian labor market, by Miguel Jaramillo
June 17, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
“The size of the drop in labor supply is similar to that of the drop in youth employment. Thus, the propensity to hire young people has not changed, but the supply of young people in the labor market has fallen. The causes of this lie in the conjuncture, not in some structural factor.” Our senior […]
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Regional Heterogeneities in Labor Markets: A World to Explore, by Miguel Jaramillo
April 1, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
“It is not necessarily the largest cities where the highest activity rates are observed. In fact, Metropolitan Lima, by far the largest city in the country, is toward the middle of the distribution, with two-thirds of its working-age population active in the labor market.” Our senior researcher Miguel Jaramillo writes about the importance of having […]
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The labor market in 2023, on a downward path, by Miguel Jaramillo
January 15, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
“At the end of the third quarter, according to the Permanent National Employment Survey, the labor force was stagnant, while inactivity had increased considerably, particularly in rural areas, where it increased by 20%.” Our Senior Researcher Miguel Jaramillo analyzes the labor market in 2023 and shares his expectations for this new year. Read his full […]
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“Urgent: better opportunities for young people,” by Miguel Jaramillo
September 19, 2023 Employment, productivity and innovation
“Entering the labor market through precarious jobs often leads to equally precarious life and work trajectories.” Miguel Jaramillo, senior researcher at GRADE, writes about the urgency of promoting better opportunities for young people and the challenges for policy design. Read his full article in El Comercio.
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Miguel Jaramillo on “underpaid” workers in the country. Via Gestión
December 4, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
According to Miguel Jaramillo, Senior Researcher at GRADE, although in the informal sector almost everyone is underemployed due to income, “both in the formal and informal sectors there may be underemployed”. Read the full article in Diario Gestión for subscribers here.
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Miguel Jaramillo shares his opinion on an eventual increase of the Peruvian minimum wage. Via La República de Colombia
November 4, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
“The minimum wage decision is not based on technical and economic grounds, it is a political decision”. Our senior researcher Miguel Jaramillo shares his thoughts on the new proposals for an eventual increase in the Peruvian minimum wage. Read the article on the website of La República de Colombia here.
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Miguel Jaramillo shares his opinion on the increase in public employment. Via Gestión.
October 29, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
According to Miguel Jaramillo, Senior Researcher at GRADE, the increase of employment in the public sector “would be correlated to the progress of public investment, but he warned that as a trend ‘it is fatal’ because of its implications on public finances”. Read the full article in Gestión for subscribers here.
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Miguel Jaramillo shares his thoughts on the increase in formal employment. Via Gestión.
October 24, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
According to Miguel Jaramillo, Senior Researcher at GRADE, the figures from the Central Reserve Bank “reinforce the idea that the public sector is gaining more weight in spending on salaries, which could have long-term consequences if the private sector does not retake the lead in job creation”. Read the full article in Gestión for subscribers […]
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Miguel Jaramillo shares his thoughts on proposals to reestablish compulsory military service
October 23, 2024 Employment, productivity and innovation
According to Miguel Jaramillo, Senior Researcher at GRADE, bill No. 9166 would not contribute to the labor market nor is it positive for employment, because it would not fullfill its aim of providing training and development opportunities for young people who are neither studying nor working, since”evidence shows that the Army is very attractive to them”. Read the full article by El Comercio here. […]
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Miguel Jaramillo: “The recovery of employment is reaching its limits”
July 24, 2023 Employment, productivity and innovation
“The recovery of employment is reaching its limits”. According to Miguel Jaramillo, Senior Researcher at GRADE, a correction in the deterioration of the Peruvian labor market is not expected in view of the bad outlook for the economy and investment. He questioned the measures taken by the Congress that affect the labor market. Interview under […]
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Interview, Media GRADE, GRADE frente al COVID-19
Miguel Jaramillo in RPP Noticias: “Everywhere you look at the quality of employment data, we are worse off than before the pandemic”.
October 17, 2022 Employment, productivity and innovation
“Employment relative to 2019 in Metropolitan Lima has grown 1%, but unemployment has grown 38%. If we look at proper employment, it has fallen 8% since before the pandemic. This drop particularly affects medium-sized companies. Everywhere you look at the quality of employment data, we are worse off than before the pandemic. If we look […]
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Miguel Jaramillo: “Clear processes are needed for any regulatory reform and a public discussion based more on evidence than on ideological principles”
June 27, 2022 Employment, productivity and innovation
“A first point is that the Ministry establishes a clear position regarding the generation of formal employment. […] A second point is the need to have a stable regulatory framework. Norms cannot be approved without following a minimum public discussion procedure. Another point is what the Ministry can do to make life in formality easier. […]
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Miguel Jaramillo: “The policies of this government serve a very specific political clientele”
May 16, 2022 Employment, productivity and innovation
Formal workers —especially unionized ones— are the ones who have been prioritized in recent labor measures, according to Miguel Jaramillo, Senior Researcher at GRADE. The dialogue also addressed issues such as the minimum wage, productivity, the release of the AFP, poverty, among others. Read the full interview in El Comercio. Subscribe for access.
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Labor Day: How to reduce job insecurity in Peru?
May 1, 2022 Employment, productivity and innovation
Forced labor is not only labor without a contract. There has to be the exercise of violence against these people, so that they can effectively do the job. They have mobility restrictions. They can be locked up in a certain area. In general, there is a set of actions that subvert their individual freedom”. Miguel […]
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Studies by GRADE researchers on the minimum wage are quoted by IPE via El Comercio
October 18, 2021 Employment, productivity and innovation
The Peruvian Institute of Economics explains why the results found by David Card, 2021 Nobel Laureate in Economics —that a minimum wage increase does not necessarily generate unemployment— would not be applicable for Peru. In the article, he quotes the work of our senior researchers Alan Sánchez, Miguel Jaramillo, and Hugo Ñopo.
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Media GRADE, GRADE frente al COVID-19, Reference
Miguel Jaramillo shares his thoughts in RPP Noticias on the recovery of employment after the crisis due to the COVID-19 pandemic
September 24, 2021 Employment, productivity and innovation
According to Miguel Jaramillo, currently informal employees have income 20% lower than what they registered before the pandemic. Read the article from RPP Noticias with the opinion of our Senior Researcher on the recovery of employment after the crisis.
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Research on public investment and inequality by Lorena Alcázar and Miguel Jaramillo is highlighted in RPP Noticias
September 24, 2021 Poverty and equality
Public investment could be a driver for economic reactivation, however it is not fulfilling its purpose of reducing inequality in the country. RPP Noticias highlighted a study by our Senior Researchers Lorena Alcázar and Miguel Jaramillo, whose findings we discussed last week.
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Citizen participation could improve fiscal policy
February 4, 2018 State reform and public institutions
After the 2017 Open Budget Survey publication, which revealed Peru as one of the most transparent countries on the allocation and execution of the public budget, but lagging behind in citizen participation in budgetary decisions, El Comercio highlighted the study of our senior reseacher, Miguel Jaramillo, along with Glenn Wright, who find that voluntary participatory […]
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Minister of Labor discusses Miguel Jaramillo’s findings on the effects of the 2001 labor contract reform on workers
January 29, 2018 Employment, productivity and innovation
In an interview by Jaime de Althaus for El Comercio, the Minister of Labor, Javier Barreda, discusses the findings of a study undertook by our senior researcher, Miguel Jaramillo, which finds a “correlation between a ruling of the Constitutional Court that allows the replacement in a job position (absolute stability) and the substantial increase in fixed-term contracts and […]
Presentations
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¿Tiene el Presupuesto Participativo efecto en la calidad de los servicios públicos? El caso del sector de agua y saneamiento en el Peru
Lima-Perú, 15 June, 2017
Presentación del libro "Mejorando el acceso y la calidad de los servicios públicos en América Latina: gobernar y servir”
Selected Publications
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Contratos laborales en el Perú: dinámica y determinantes
2019 Miguel Jaramillo, Daniela Campos
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Los efectos desprotectores de la protección del empleo. El impacto de la reforma del contrato laboral de 2001
2019 Miguel Jaramillo, Julio Almonacid, Luciana de la Flor